My last event before the WSOP was a £1000 Pot Limit Omaha at the Vic in London , i was expecting around 90 players and with only 53 wouldn't have played if 1st hadn't been guaranteed £20,000 , this is the absolute minimum i will play for as a return on my investment.
In the end it clearly wasn't my day but some positives came from it , mainly my discipline , i picked up garbage for 3 hours and missed every flop bar one where i flopped top set against a made flush but didn't improve v Scott Fischman , my 10,000 blinded away to 1400 and i hadn't won a single hand , average was now 13,000 , i managed to get it all in twice with AA xx and got back up to 10,000 then during the 150 300 level i dropped back to 7,000 , the final hand is the point of this diary .
To my right were Eric Dalby winner of last years Ladbrokes cruise and Jeff Duval on the button , both are excellent Omaha players , Eric raised to 1100 and Jeff called , i was in the BB for 400 , so after the SB passed there was 2800 in the pot and 700 more to call , with odds of 4-1 i had a playable hand Q7 67ds , i called . Flop was J 7 4 rainbow , usually i would bet out here against one player but i checked believing that if Eric hadn't raised with an overpair and checked too , Jeff would try to pick up the pot from the button on a bluff or semibluff which i would then reraise , unfortunately both checked , turn was a T , i checked and Eric bet 2500 , i know Eric has a made hand with a draw here as having Jeff behind him would stop him betting otherwise , Jeff passed , i now have to decided how the T has improved Erics hand and put him on a narrowed range of holdings .
Ok , i know Eric would have bet this flop with an overpair so his most likely hand is now two pair with a straight draw , eg TJ QK , i dont think he has 89 for the straight but it occurs to me he may have 99 with some other connectors and is representing the straight with outs , i decide this more likely so put him on 99 TJ , 99 TQ or 99 KQ , i call the 2500 leaving myself 3400 , the river is a 3 , i now put in a value bet of 1500 hoping he will pay me off , Eric is one of the chip leaders and instead of calling raises me all in , now i have a decision , there is 13,800 and 1900 to call , does he have top two and thinks they are good knowing if i had the straight i would have moved in on the turn and is hoping i will call with a worse two pair , he can't possibly put me on a set, or was he lucky to hit a middle pin T on the turn and has 89 afterall , i hope it is top two and decide i have to call , with blinds of 200 400 and only 1900 there's too much out there too pass , his hand is AK 89 , he had missed the flop but caught a perfect turn card .
This was one of those situations where i should have kept my thinking simple , he had raised to pick up the blinds ,didn't like two callers , missed the flop so checked , bet the turn knowing the middle pin would not be considered to have helped , then on the river i gave myself the chance to get away from the hand by betting , however i bet too much , a 1000 bet would have got the same response and i could have passed leaving 2400 , after betting and getting raised i refused to believe he had 89 even though all the evidence was there , it also occurred to me later he could have had TT QK and would have played it the same .
The point is sometimes even great players play a hand ABC and especially in Omaha you have to be more open to the fact they could have the hand they are representing.
On reflection i think my main mistake here was relying on either Eric or Jeff to bet the flop , as i now do in hold-em i should have led out , the pot was 3,500 , a pot size bet would have left me 2,400 committed to a reraise , but as we now know i would have won unchallenged and would have been back up to 9,400 , always try to remember the key pots you play and be honest enough with yourself to admit mistakes and learn from them.
All the best
Simon will be appearing at the following
events in 2006
Prestige Triple WSOP 2006
9th July $10,000 Pot Limit Omaha
20th July $5000 Short Handed No Limit Hold-em
28th July $10,000 Championship Event
Dusk Till Dawn Schedule 2006
12/8 Luton £1500 No Limit
16/9 EPT Barcelona €4000 No Limit
25/9 EPT London £3000 No Limit
6/10 EPT Baden €4000 No Limit
27/10 EPT Dublin €4000 No Limit
9/11 Amsterdam Masterclassics €500 Pot Limit Omaha
22/11 Blackpool £1000 No Limit
29/11 Walsall £1500 No Limit